Wednesday, April 29, 2020

April 29, 2020


While the overall COVID-19 infection rate continued to increase at a modest rate (3.2%) between 4-28 and 4-29, fatalities surged from 799 to 937 for a 17.3 percent change. The percentage of deaths to infections in Ohio now stands at 5.4%.

A review of international data shows the United States now has more than 1 Million total cases (1,040,233) and almost 60,000 deaths (59,819). On a per-capita basis, Spain and Italy exceed the U.S. in recorded infections and several Western European Countries have recorded more deaths on a rate per 1 million basis. 

Analysis of international COVID-19 testing rates shows the United States lags behind other developed countries. This is a critical factor that needs to be addressed as Ohio and the U.S. move toward relaxing social distancing standards and re-opening the economy.

Do you feel that Ohio and the United States have more at-risk populations, or that there has been a lack of social distancing, or both?






7 comments:

  1. To me, these charts and tables a clever, easy-to-understand way to visualize the pandemic's dynamic in Ohio. Thanks for doing this. -- dennis

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you for your comment, Dennis. Ohio University and Alliance staff want to make the information as accessible as possible to build capacity and understanding.

      Delete
  2. Michael Schroeder Orman, there is much concern about health disparities. Is thrre a way you can break down by race/ethnicity? I live in Franklin Co., but 1/2 from Delaware Co. When I look at the map, the rates in the two counties are obvious. I am also interested in rates/100,000 population. If you can't show by race, can you do zip code, which may yield approximate data?
    1
    Delete or hide this
    Like
    · Reply · 13 hours ago13h

    Orman Hall Really good ideas. Unfortunately, for the time being we are restricted by the ODH extract which does not allow for either of those cross tabs. It is possible to look at infections and deaths by age and gender. Will look for opportunities to do further drill down work as data becomes more available

    ReplyDelete
  3. Bennett Cooper Jr Orman, I believe the low rate of testing skews everything,even deaths by Covid.We should be testing millions per day then tracking like STD.Without extensive testing we are guessing

    ReplyDelete
  4. Jim Kennedy I think the current graphics give a pretty good picture of where we are now. I did like the time lapse portrayal that showed how the virus cases traveled in Ohio. Maybe that isn't practical for the longer period of time that has now transpired. I hope that we can see some data on testing and contact tracing soon so that we can see if we are implementing the best possible measures to reduce the risk of opening up. The fact that the intensive testing effort didn't occur for a time before the re-opening is a bit worrisome.
    Delete or hide this
    Like
    · Reply · about an hour ago1h
    Orman Hall
    Orman Hall Testing is definitely an important area of focus. Let's hope Ohio meets its stated goals.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Jerry Craig Since adequate testing is such an issue, hospital admissions seem to be a better proxy measure of where we are on the curve. But I like what you have here.
    Delete or hide this
    Like
    · Reply · 47 minutes ago47m
    Orman Hall
    Orman Hall Jerry, the last time I looked closely at hospital admissions, they looked pretty random. Will take a closer look today or tomorrow.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Randy DePuy Do we have something on percentage of deaths that involve smokers or other forms of compromised immune systems, just a simple percentage. All I've read is implications that it is a factor. Also a simple age range graph would be interesting.
    Delete or hide this
    Like
    · Reply · 3 minutes ago3m
    Orman Hall
    Orman Hall We can do an age graph. Smoking is a field on the death record but they won't be available for a while.

    ReplyDelete