June 25, 2020

The following graphs present daily COVID-19 infections and deaths for the state of Ohio between January 1 and June 25, 2020. The blue line represents actual cases. The bold red line is the same data with smoothing applied to reduce the “noise” associated with fluctuating data. The smoothed trend shows the direction of the data and the gray area surrounding the red line is a confidence band that represents how much we can trust the smoothed trend. Analysis of state level infections suggest Ohio has experienced a modest decline in infections since spring peak. The data also suggests a more significant decrease in the number of deaths since peak transmission.

 Analysis of infections and deaths by region of state shows infections continue to increase in several regions while deaths have broadly fallen across all regions. It is important to note that there tends to be a lag between increasing infections and deaths so early signs of resurgent infections may suggest increased deaths in those areas experiencing elevated infections.